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NYSE AMEX Composite Index - 2002

YTD Price Probability

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the index for 2002 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value: 847.61

Hist. Volatility: 0.77%

Annual Drift: 7%

Final Value: 824.38

Percentile: 30%

Predicted price distribution
Click on the image for the high resolution version.

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2002 (what's this?).