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Advance Auto Parts Inc  

Company profile

Symbol: AAP Exchange: NYSE Sector: Services Industry: Retail (Specialty)
Market Cap: $2.34 B Data Since: 2002-01-02 Last Close : $31.82 (2008-01-18)
Website: www.advanceautoparts.com
Links: [View company page at TextMap]    [Web Query]    [News Query]

Analysis :    [Random Walk]   [Default Prediction]   [Fundamental Analysis]


Price Prediction

 

Random walk modeling for 2008 (what's this?). Click on the images for the high resolution version.

Initial Value* : $37.99 Historic Volatility : 2.24% Annual Drift : 7%

Predicted price distribution   Predicted high to date and low to date price

* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

 

Money Flow Index

 

Money FLow Index for 2008

Money Flow Index   

* To learn more about Money Flow Index (what's this?).

 

Default Prediction for 2007-12-29

 

Default prediction by Z-Score (what's this?).

Z Score :  
3.1521   

Sector         Industry
Advance Auto Parts Inc Z score histogram (Services sector)   Advance Auto Parts Inc Z score histogram (Retail (Specialty) industry)

View the other companies in the same industry : Retail (Specialty)

Alternative Z-Scores designed for non-public companies (i.e. take these with a grain of salt):

For manufacuring companies:
Z' Score :  
2.7926   

Sector         Industry
Advance Auto Parts Inc Z' score histogram (Services sector)  Advance Auto Parts Inc Z' score histogram (Retail (Specialty) industry)  

For non-manufacturing companies:
Z'' Score :  
3.6295   

Sector         Industry
  Advance Auto Parts Inc Z'' score histogram (Services sector)  Advance Auto Parts Inc Z score histogram (Retail (Specialty) industry)

 

Fundamental Analysis for 2007-

 

Fundamental Analysis measures (what's this?).

Date of financial statements used:  2007-12-29
Book Value : $963.233 M Internal Value : $963.233 M Working Capital : $456.897 M
Debt to Asset Ratio : 0.635 Current Ratio: 0.728 Turnover Ratio: 12.670
Net Margins : 81.310 EPS : 3.241 P/E ratio : 9.818
P/B ratio : 2.429 ROE : 0.247 ROA : 0.085