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Novastar Financial Inc  

Company profile

Symbol: NFI Exchange: NYSE Sector: Services Industry: Real Estate Operations
Market Cap: $49.45 M Data Since: 1998-01-02 Last Close : $1.94 (2008-01-16)
Website: www.novastarmortgage.com
Links: [View company page at TextMap]    [Web Query]    [News Query]

Analysis :    [Random Walk]   [Default Prediction]   [Fundamental Analysis]


Price Prediction

 

Random walk modeling for 2008 (what's this?). Click on the images for the high resolution version.

Initial Value* : $2.89 Historic Volatility : 11.6% Annual Drift : 7%

Predicted price distribution   Predicted high to date and low to date price

* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

 

Money Flow Index

 

Money FLow Index for 2008

Money Flow Index   

* To learn more about Money Flow Index (what's this?).

 

Default Prediction for 2006-12-31

 

Default prediction by Z-Score (what's this?).

Z Score :  
0.3083   

Sector         Industry
Novastar Financial Inc Z score histogram (Services sector)   Novastar Financial Inc Z score histogram (Real Estate Operations industry)

View the other companies in the same industry : Real Estate Operations

Alternative Z-Scores designed for non-public companies (i.e. take these with a grain of salt):

For manufacuring companies:
Z' Score :  
0.306   

Sector         Industry
Novastar Financial Inc Z' score histogram (Services sector)  Novastar Financial Inc Z' score histogram (Real Estate Operations industry)  

For non-manufacturing companies:
Z'' Score :  
0.3549   

Sector         Industry
  Novastar Financial Inc Z'' score histogram (Services sector)  Novastar Financial Inc Z score histogram (Real Estate Operations industry)

 

Fundamental Analysis for 2007-

 

Fundamental Analysis measures (what's this?).

Date of financial statements used:  2007-09-30
Book Value : $-80713000.000 Internal Value : $-80713000.000 Working Capital : N/A
Debt to Asset Ratio : 1.018 Current Ratio: N/A Turnover Ratio: N/A
Net Margins : -0.248 EPS : -23.357 P/E ratio : -0.083
P/B ratio : -0.613 ROE : 7.376 ROA : -0.131