The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2016 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.
Initial Value*: $45.7
Hist. Volatility: 1.56%
Annual Drift: 7%
Final Value*: $41.8
Percentile: 34%
The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2016 (what's this?).
© 2005, 2016, The Research Foundation of State University of New York, http://www.textbiz.org