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iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (ETF) - 2016  (Inactive Symbol)

YTD Price Probability

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2016 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value*: $337.7

Hist. Volatility: 1.74%

Annual Drift: 7%

Final Value*: $265.4

Percentile: 21%

Predicted price distribution
Click on the image for the high resolution version.
* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

HTD - LTD Price Probability

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2016 (what's this?).